All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
North Central JV Meet |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/31 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/5 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
139 |
94 |
122 |
181 |
195 |
730 |
261 |
507 |
132 |
126 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
94 |
122 |
181 |
195 |
139 |
261 |
139 |
132 |
126 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
North Central JV Meet |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 11 |
Nolan Satterfield |
12 |
15:48 |
15:32 |
15:46 |
16:00 |
15:44 |
|
16:13 |
|
15:51 |
15:48 |
| 20 |
Garrett Hicks |
12 |
16:01 |
16:01 |
16:05 |
16:10 |
16:32 |
|
16:34 |
|
16:01 |
15:54 |
| 22 |
Bennett DuBois |
12 |
16:01 |
15:39 |
15:47 |
16:32 |
16:08 |
|
16:40 |
|
15:56 |
15:59 |
| 36 |
Will Marquardt |
12 |
16:12 |
15:51 |
16:04 |
16:11 |
16:24 |
|
16:34 |
|
16:11 |
16:11 |
| 110 |
Ash Caylor |
11 |
16:37 |
16:26 |
16:33 |
16:36 |
16:46 |
|
16:48 |
|
16:34 |
16:32 |
| 145 |
Connor Sarkovics |
12 |
16:51 |
17:03 |
16:43 |
16:53 |
16:53 |
|
|
16:50 |
16:42 |
17:14 |
| 211 |
Ian Ross |
10 |
17:03 |
17:11 |
17:04 |
16:50 |
17:00 |
|
|
16:58 |
16:59 |
17:17 |
| 253 |
Andrew Knight |
12 |
17:13 |
|
16:45 |
16:58 |
17:15 |
|
|
17:52 |
|
|
| 342 |
Will Tuckis |
12 |
17:27 |
16:58 |
17:25 |
17:38 |
17:19 |
|
|
17:44 |
|
|
| 358 |
Brayden Gebhard |
10 |
17:29 |
17:16 |
17:47 |
17:15 |
17:34 |
|
|
17:26 |
|
|
| 364 |
Matthew Hemmerling |
10 |
17:30 |
17:19 |
17:11 |
17:45 |
17:40 |
|
|
17:25 |
|
|
| 475 |
Joe Augustine |
11 |
17:43 |
17:34 |
17:46 |
17:54 |
17:52 |
17:30 |
|
|
|
|
| 518 |
Adam Warski |
10 |
17:48 |
17:20 |
17:37 |
17:50 |
19:04 |
17:34 |
|
17:52 |
|
|
| 609 |
Zach Swedarsky |
9 |
17:56 |
18:03 |
18:06 |
17:49 |
17:53 |
17:52 |
17:50 |
|
|
|
| 625 |
Andrew Koehler |
12 |
17:58 |
18:08 |
18:07 |
17:45 |
17:53 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 656 |
Luke Andritsch |
12 |
18:01 |
17:58 |
17:55 |
17:50 |
18:12 |
18:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 755 |
Noah Haines |
12 |
18:11 |
17:55 |
|
17:50 |
18:49 |
18:12 |
|
|
|
|
| 870 |
Colin Brier |
11 |
18:21 |
18:24 |
18:30 |
18:04 |
18:17 |
18:31 |
|
|
|
|
| 875 |
Tate Watson |
9 |
18:21 |
18:39 |
18:06 |
|
17:54 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 962 |
Ben Tuckis |
9 |
18:29 |
18:39 |
18:25 |
19:00 |
18:22 |
18:19 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,112 |
Nick Vega |
9 |
18:42 |
19:03 |
18:42 |
18:27 |
18:37 |
18:50 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,250 |
Noah Anderson |
9 |
18:50 |
18:39 |
18:26 |
|
19:03 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
|
|
Andrew Kennedy |
11 |
19:01 |
19:01 |
18:56 |
18:43 |
18:53 |
19:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
Matt Walters |
12 |
19:12 |
19:37 |
18:54 |
19:43 |
18:41 |
19:24 |
|
|
|
|
|
Truman Cluff |
11 |
19:15 |
19:58 |
|
19:35 |
19:19 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gavin Vessels |
10 |
19:25 |
19:02 |
19:13 |
19:55 |
19:52 |
19:15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Drew Pollak |
12 |
19:28 |
20:24 |
|
19:59 |
18:47 |
19:20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Carson Vernon |
10 |
19:28 |
19:57 |
|
19:34 |
19:14 |
19:31 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
3.4 |
138 |
15.8 |
21.1 |
19.3 |
17.8 |
13.6 |
8.4 |
2.5 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.3 |
69 |
68.6 |
30.0 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.3 |
26 |
70.5 |
29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.3 |
25 |
72.4 |
27.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
11.9 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
5.9 |
6.5 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
6.2 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Garrett Hicks |
100% |
23.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
|
99.1% |
| Bennett DuBois |
100% |
23.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
|
98.9% |
| Will Marquardt |
100% |
40.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
|
91.9% |
| Ash Caylor |
100% |
95.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
24.3% |
| Connor Sarkovics |
100% |
118.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.6% |
| Ian Ross |
100% |
136.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
3.9 |
0.4 |
16.0 |
20.6 |
15.1 |
12.7 |
9.2 |
8.0 |
5.2 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Garrett Hicks |
100% |
8.8 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
3.2 |
5.8 |
7.2 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
9.3 |
8.7 |
7.6 |
6.7 |
5.9 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Bennett DuBois |
100% |
8.8 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
2.9 |
5.4 |
7.3 |
8.6 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
8.0 |
7.9 |
6.8 |
5.9 |
5.2 |
4.3 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Will Marquardt |
100% |
15.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ash Caylor |
100% |
31.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Connor Sarkovics |
100% |
41.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ian Ross |
100% |
53.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
1.0 |
75.9 |
13.8 |
5.0 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Garrett Hicks |
100% |
2.5 |
6.2 |
29.8 |
28.0 |
11.9 |
7.6 |
6.1 |
4.9 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bennett DuBois |
100% |
2.5 |
5.9 |
29.5 |
27.9 |
12.8 |
6.9 |
6.1 |
4.8 |
3.8 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Will Marquardt |
100% |
5.2 |
0.1 |
2.5 |
7.5 |
26.1 |
12.1 |
10.5 |
10.4 |
10.8 |
12.5 |
4.3 |
2.3 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ash Caylor |
100% |
10.9 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
3.0 |
4.5 |
8.0 |
17.4 |
15.6 |
17.3 |
14.1 |
8.6 |
5.0 |
2.1 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Connor Sarkovics |
100% |
14.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
2.9 |
5.6 |
8.3 |
13.4 |
16.3 |
16.1 |
13.8 |
10.7 |
6.0 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Ian Ross |
100% |
17.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
5.3 |
8.8 |
13.5 |
16.0 |
16.9 |
14.1 |
8.5 |
4.9 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Satterfield |
1.0 |
76.8 |
14.0 |
4.7 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Garrett Hicks |
2.5 |
5.6 |
30.2 |
27.7 |
12.3 |
7.7 |
5.9 |
5.1 |
3.5 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bennett DuBois |
2.5 |
5.8 |
29.4 |
27.7 |
12.8 |
7.2 |
6.4 |
4.8 |
3.5 |
1.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Will Marquardt |
5.1 |
0.2 |
2.5 |
8.0 |
25.7 |
12.3 |
10.3 |
11.0 |
11.0 |
12.3 |
4.4 |
2.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ash Caylor |
10.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
4.5 |
8.3 |
21.2 |
18.6 |
27.6 |
10.7 |
2.1 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Connor Sarkovics |
12.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
3.1 |
8.9 |
13.7 |
33.0 |
27.8 |
8.3 |
2.1 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ian Ross |
14.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
6.7 |
25.2 |
38.3 |
14.5 |
6.4 |
3.4 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
